Preston North End v Wolves
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Preston North End lost to Wolves 1–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Ali McCann for 1+ tackles (95%, had 1). Its clearest miss: André for 1+ tackles (86%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali McCann | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Raúl Jiménez | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 2 | ✓ |
| Adam Armstrong | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mateus Mané | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Leo Leroy | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marshall Munetsi | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| André | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Raúl Jiménez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mateus Mané | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Leo Leroy | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jusef Erabi | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Callum Lang | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ali McCann | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Liam Lindsay | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 42% | 5 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Wolves 2–1 Preston North End Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Preston North End v Wolves?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Preston North End v Wolves?
The most confident call it got wrong was André at 86% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.