Ali Ahmed
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship winger, 25/26, 2,357 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Ali Ahmed has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ali Ahmed featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Hull City2 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Swansea City25 Apr | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Bristol City18 Apr | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Ipswich11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Millwall6 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Portsmouth3 Apr | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Charlton Athletic21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Southampton18 Mar | 87 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Preston North End14 Mar | 88 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield United11 Mar | 81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Ali Ahmed have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Ali Ahmed has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ali Ahmed average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Ali Ahmed is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 1.52 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ali Ahmed get booked?
Ali Ahmed is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ali Ahmed commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ali Ahmed commits 0.51 fouls per 90 and wins 1.65 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ali Ahmed?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ali Ahmed plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.