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Championship 26/27
EO

Eoin Toal

Centre-back 100% of 3 recent starts Bolton WanderersChampionship 26/27

Next match
Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City›
Sat 10 OctReferee Thomas Kirk

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 4 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 4 games

Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.32 per 90
25%
1 of 41.8×
4.30MGMEdge
Total shots0.65 per 90
25%
1 of 40.7×
1.80bet365Edge
Fouls won0.65 per 90
25%
1 of 40.6×
Fouls committed0.65 per 90
50%
2 of 41.0×
Tackles2.27 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.3×
0%
0 of 4
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 4 Championship games, Eoin Toal has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (1 of 4), 1+ total shot in 25%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 4). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 4

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Eoin Toal in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 38 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Eoin ToalBolton Wanderers 40.65 0.65
Luke AylingMiddlesbrough 80.81 0.16
Ben CabangoSwansea City 60.78 0.78
Lisav Naif EissatBristol City 80.90 1.20
Nathan WoodSouthampton 70.33 0.49
Nathaniel PhillipsWest Bromwich Albion 80.42 0.42
These 5, combined 0.64 0.61

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 4 games Eoin Toal featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Norwich20 Sep 90 0 0 1 2 1 0
Cardiff City12 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 3 0
West Ham8 Sep 90 1 2 0 0 3 0
Preston North End15 Aug 8 0 0 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Eoin Toal have a shot on target?

Over the last 4 Championship games, Eoin Toal has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (1 of 4). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Eoin Toal average?

Across the last 4 Championship games, Eoin Toal is averaging 0.32 shots on target and 0.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Eoin Toal get booked?

Eoin Toal is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 4 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Eoin Toal commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 4 games Eoin Toal commits 0.65 fouls per 90 and wins 0.65 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Eoin Toal?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Eoin Toal plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.