Lee Gregory
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Championship games, Lee Gregory has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lee Gregory featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City23 Dec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Plymouth Argyle25 Oct | 65 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Watford21 Oct | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Huddersfield Town7 Oct | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sunderland29 Sep | 79 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Swansea City23 Sep | 70 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Middlesbrough19 Sep | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ipswich16 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Leeds2 Sep | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Cardiff City26 Aug | 89 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Lee Gregory have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Lee Gregory has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lee Gregory average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Lee Gregory is averaging 0.17 shots on target and 1.39 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lee Gregory get booked?
Lee Gregory is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lee Gregory commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lee Gregory commits 1.91 fouls per 90 and wins 1.04 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lee Gregory?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lee Gregory plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.