Tom Naylor
Central midfielder 95% of 22 recent starts Wigan AthleticChampionship 22/23
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship central midfielder, 25/26, 3,484 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Tom Naylor has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Tom Naylor featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall22 Apr | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stoke City18 Apr | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Blackpool15 Apr | 45 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Swansea City10 Apr | 79 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield United7 Apr | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers1 Apr | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Watford18 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Burnley11 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City15 Feb | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Huddersfield Town11 Feb | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Tom Naylor have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Tom Naylor has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Tom Naylor average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Tom Naylor is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.89 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Tom Naylor get booked?
Tom Naylor is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Tom Naylor commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Tom Naylor commits 1.34 fouls per 90 and wins 1.78 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tom Naylor?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tom Naylor plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.