Zack Nelson
Over the last 10 Championship games, Zack Nelson has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Zack Nelson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers12 Apr | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cardiff City11 Mar | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Burnley8 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Portsmouth1 Mar | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland12 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Millwall25 Jan | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Oxford United21 Jan | 61 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Preston North End18 Jan | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers6 Jan | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Norwich1 Jan | 84 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Frequently asked
How often does Zack Nelson have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Zack Nelson has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Zack Nelson average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Zack Nelson is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Zack Nelson get booked?
Zack Nelson is averaging 0.53 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Zack Nelson commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Zack Nelson commits 1.24 fouls per 90 and wins 1.24 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Zack Nelson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Zack Nelson plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.