Zack Nelson
Central midfielder 43% of 7 recent starts LutonChampionship 24/25
Also in: Premier League
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship central midfielder, 25/26, 3,484 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Zack Nelson has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Zack Nelson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers12 Apr | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cardiff City11 Mar | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Burnley8 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Portsmouth1 Mar | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland12 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Millwall25 Jan | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Oxford United21 Jan | 61 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Preston North End18 Jan | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers6 Jan | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Norwich1 Jan | 84 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Frequently asked
How often does Zack Nelson have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Zack Nelson has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Zack Nelson average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Zack Nelson is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Zack Nelson get booked?
Zack Nelson is averaging 0.53 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Zack Nelson commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Zack Nelson commits 1.24 fouls per 90 and wins 1.24 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Zack Nelson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Zack Nelson plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.