Sparta Rotterdam v AFC Ajax
How often each Sparta Rotterdam and AFC Ajax player has hit the lines bookmakers price β 1+ shots on target, 2+ shots, 1+ fouls, a card β across their recent matches. How hit rates work β
Going into Sparta Rotterdam v AFC Ajax on Sun 25 Oct: Milan Zonneveld (Sparta Rotterdam) leads the home side for 1+ shots on target β 7 of 10 (70%); Oscar Gloukh (AFC Ajax) tops the visitors on 7 of 10 (70%). Raw hit rates from recent matches, not odds.
What sits behind these numbers
Line-ups aren't confirmed, so the players shown are a likely XI from each club's recent selections β injuries and suspensions are filtered out where we know them. Hit rates are their recent form, not a forecast for this match. These players joined recently, and the games behind these rates were played elsewhere: Ayoni Santos (PSV Eindhoven), Mika Godts (Paris Saint-Germain), NΓΆkkvi ΓΓ³risson (SC Telstar), Youri Regeer (SV Werder Bremen) β read as prior form, not this club's.
How hit rates and windows work
Each row's hit rate is the share of a player's games in the window where the bet would have landed. These are 26/27 figures from completed matches: Last N is their last N games; Season is their whole 26/27; H2H is only games against this opponent.
π Model is the paid layer β the model's +EV verdict on each line, per fixture in the tool. The hit rates here are free.
Tick players above to build your own slip β it follows you across games, and you can share it from the tray below.
New to these markets? The player stats guide explains what each line means and how to read a hit rate, and the glossary defines the terms.
Not appointed yet β referees are usually confirmed two to three days before kick-off. See the referee panel
Form is only half the picture. A player hitting a line 5 of 5 can still be poor value if the true chance is lower than the streak suggests. The SharpXI tool pairs every one of these with the model's real probability β and flags the runs it doesn't back, so you're not chasing a streak about to regress. That honest verdict is the layer we're building into the tool.
Hit rates are raw recent form from public match data, for context β not a prediction or a guarantee. 18+ β please gamble responsibly.
Copies a ready-to-paste message with your link β the slip rebuilds itself when opened. Post the image alongside for the visual.