What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 7 games
Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances
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Over the last 7 Eredivisie games, Tolu Arokodare has hit 1+ shot on target in 57% (4 of 7), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 43%, 1+ foul won in 57%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 7). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 7 games Tolu Arokodare featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen10 Oct | 73 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Excelsior19 Sep | 28 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fortuna Sittard12 Sep | 74 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PSV Eindhoven5 Sep | 61 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SC Telstar30 Aug | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| SC Heerenveen16 Aug | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ PEC Zwolle9 Aug | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Tolu Arokodare have a shot on target?
Over the last 7 Eredivisie games, Tolu Arokodare has hit 1+ shot on target in 57% (4 of 7). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Tolu Arokodare average?
Across the last 7 Eredivisie games, Tolu Arokodare is averaging 1.28 shots on target and 5.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Tolu Arokodare get booked?
Tolu Arokodare is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 7 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Tolu Arokodare commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 7 games Tolu Arokodare commits 0.77 fouls per 90 and wins 1.54 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tolu Arokodare?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tolu Arokodare plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.