What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with an Eredivisie defender, 25/26, 3,391 appearances
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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Lucas Rosa has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Lucas Rosa in Eredivisie, 26/27 — drawn from 7 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas RosaAFC Ajax | 4 | 1.57 | 1.31 |
| Givairo ReadFeyenoord | 8 | 1.36 | 0.82 |
| Bart van RooijFC Twente | 8 | 0.39 | 1.04 |
| Mika MármolFeyenoord | 8 | 0.78 | 1.17 |
| Siebe HoremansFC Utrecht | 8 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Sergiño DestPSV Eindhoven | 7 | 1.14 | 0.72 |
| These 5, combined | 0.89 | 0.92 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Rosa featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen10 Oct | 73 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Willem II Tilburg15 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| SC Heerenveen16 Aug | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| @ PEC Zwolle9 Aug | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| FC Utrecht24 May | 120 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| FC Groningen21 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| @ SC Heerenveen17 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| FC Utrecht10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| PSV Eindhoven2 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ NAC Breda25 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Rosa have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Lucas Rosa has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lucas Rosa average?
Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Lucas Rosa is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.99 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Rosa get booked?
Lucas Rosa is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Rosa commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas Rosa commits 1.28 fouls per 90 and wins 1.28 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Rosa?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Rosa plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.