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Eredivisie 26/27
NI

Niklas Vesterlund

Defender FC UtrechtEredivisie 26/27

Next match
FC Utrecht at FC Twente›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 45 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie defender, 25/26, 3,391 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
4.33bet365Edge
Total shots0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
2.00bet365Edge
Fouls won0.64 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Fouls committed1.17 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles2.02 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.32 per 90
30%
3 of 105.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Niklas Vesterlund has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Niklas Vesterlund in Eredivisie, 26/27 — drawn from 6 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Niklas VesterlundFC Utrecht 70.16 1.12
Bart van RooijFC Twente 80.39 1.04
Mika MármolFeyenoord 80.78 1.17
Dean JamesGo Ahead Eagles 80.42 0.57
Siebe HoremansFC Utrecht 80.82 0.82
Givairo ReadFeyenoord 81.36 0.82
These 5, combined 0.75 0.89

Recent matches

The last 10 games Niklas Vesterlund featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Willem II Tilburg11 Oct 68 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Feyenoord20 Sep 90 0 0 2 2 0 0
@ Excelsior13 Sep 81 0 0 0 1 0 0
PSV Eindhoven30 Aug 56 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Sparta Rotterdam22 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
AZ Alkmaar15 Aug 90 0 0 3 0 3 0
@ FC Groningen9 Aug 90 1 1 0 2 3 0
@ AFC Ajax24 May 120 0 0 3 1 5 0
SC Heerenveen21 May 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
Fortuna Sittard17 May 72 0 1 0 0 3 0
Officials on record
Allard Lindhout 6 games Niklas Vesterlund booked in 1 2.90cards/game 0.91×vs league
Manschot, Jeroen 4 games Niklas Vesterlund booked in 1 3.44cards/game 1.08×vs league
Danny Makkelie 4 games Niklas Vesterlund never booked 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Jannick van der Laan 4 games Niklas Vesterlund never booked 3.07cards/game 0.96×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Niklas Vesterlund have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Niklas Vesterlund has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Niklas Vesterlund average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Niklas Vesterlund is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.21 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Niklas Vesterlund get booked?

Niklas Vesterlund is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Niklas Vesterlund commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Niklas Vesterlund commits 1.17 fouls per 90 and wins 0.64 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Niklas Vesterlund?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Niklas Vesterlund plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.