Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Eredivisie 26/27
DI

Dies Janse

Defender AFC AjaxEredivisie 26/27

Next match
AFC Ajax at FC Groningen›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 39 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie defender, 25/26, 3,391 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
3.25bet365Edge
Total shots0.55 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
1.53bet365Edge
Fouls won0.98 per 90
60%
6 of 101.4×
Fouls committed1.42 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
Tackles1.20 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.5×
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 102.3×
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Dies Janse has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Dies Janse featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Willem II Tilburg15 Sep 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SC Telstar30 Aug 90 0 1 1 1 1 0
@ AFC Ajax21 May 90 0 0 3 1 1 1
@ Heracles Almelo17 May 90 0 0 0 1 0 0
NEC Nijmegen10 May 90 0 0 2 0 2 0
Excelsior2 May 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Feyenoord25 Apr 90 0 1 2 1 3 1
Go Ahead Eagles11 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 3 0
@ SC Telstar4 Apr 90 2 3 2 2 0 0
AZ Alkmaar22 Mar 90 0 0 2 3 1 0
Officials on record
Danny Makkelie 5 games Dies Janse booked in 1 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 4 games Dies Janse never booked 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Alex Bos 3 games Dies Janse booked in 1 3.02cards/game 0.95×vs league
Marc Nagtegaal 3 games Dies Janse booked in 1 2.63cards/game 0.82×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Dies Janse have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Dies Janse has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Dies Janse average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Dies Janse is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.55 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Dies Janse get booked?

Dies Janse is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Dies Janse commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Dies Janse commits 1.42 fouls per 90 and wins 0.98 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dies Janse?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dies Janse plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.