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Eredivisie 26/27
AL

Alireza Jahanbakhsh

Forward ExcelsiorEredivisie 26/27

Next match
Excelsior at SC Heerenveen›
Fri 16 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.18 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.83bet365Edge
Total shots3.08 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls won0.95 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed1.18 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Tackles0.95 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.24 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
7.00bet365Edge
Goals0.24 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Alireza Jahanbakhsh has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Alireza Jahanbakhsh in Eredivisie, 26/27 — drawn from 5 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Alireza JahanbakhshExcelsior 62.87 2.87
Ruben van BommelPSV Eindhoven 82.71 2.20
Yoann CathlineFC Utrecht 82.40 1.48
Ivan PerišićPSV Eindhoven 82.64 0.53
Anis Hadj MoussaFeyenoord 73.21 0.58
Mathis SurayGo Ahead Eagles 81.93 0.90
These 5, combined 2.56 1.11

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Alireza Jahanbakhsh featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
FC Groningen11 Oct 9 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ AFC Ajax19 Sep 19 0 0 1 0 0 0
FC Utrecht13 Sep 10 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ NEC Nijmegen8 Sep 9 0 0 1 0 1 0
Sparta Rotterdam29 Aug 31 1 1 0 0 0 0
PSV Eindhoven15 Aug 16 0 0 1 0 0 0
Almere City FC19 Apr 31 0 1 2 1 1 1
@ Sparta Rotterdam12 Apr 90 2 5 0 2 0 0
Willem II Tilburg4 Apr 89 2 4 0 1 1 0
@ FC Utrecht30 Mar 76 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Serdar Gozubuyuk 8 games Alireza Jahanbakhsh booked in 2 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Danny Makkelie 7 games Alireza Jahanbakhsh booked in 1 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Manschot, Jeroen 7 games Alireza Jahanbakhsh never booked 3.44cards/game 1.08×vs league
Allard Lindhout 4 games Alireza Jahanbakhsh never booked 2.90cards/game 0.91×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Alireza Jahanbakhsh have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Alireza Jahanbakhsh has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Alireza Jahanbakhsh average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Alireza Jahanbakhsh is averaging 1.18 shots on target and 3.08 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Alireza Jahanbakhsh get booked?

Alireza Jahanbakhsh is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Alireza Jahanbakhsh commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Alireza Jahanbakhsh commits 1.18 fouls per 90 and wins 0.95 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alireza Jahanbakhsh?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alireza Jahanbakhsh plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.