Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Eredivisie 26/27
AY

Ayoub Oufkir

Forward AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 26/27

Next match
AZ Alkmaar at SC Cambuur›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 38 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target2.27 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
1.44bet365Edge
Total shots3.64 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.05bet365Edge
Fouls won2.27 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Fouls committed2.27 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Tackles2.27 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.91 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
3.50bet365Edge
Goals0.91 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 26/27, Ayoub Oufkir has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 62%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 25% (2 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ayoub Oufkir featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Feyenoord10 Oct 90 0 2 2 1 2 0
SC Telstar20 Sep 19 1 1 0 1 1 0
Willem II Tilburg11 Sep 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SC Heerenveen6 Sep 8 1 1 1 1 0 1
Go Ahead Eagles29 Aug 13 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Fortuna Sittard22 Aug 9 1 2 1 0 0 1
@ FC Utrecht15 Aug 9 1 1 0 1 0 0
ADO Den Haag8 Aug 9 0 0 0 1 0 0
NAC Breda17 May 20 1 1 0 0 0 0
Fortuna Sittard4 Apr 13 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Robin Hensgens 4 games Ayoub Oufkir booked in 1 3.29cards/game 1.03×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 4 games Ayoub Oufkir booked in 1 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Danny Makkelie 4 games Ayoub Oufkir never booked 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Manschot, Jeroen 3 games Ayoub Oufkir booked in 1 3.44cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ayoub Oufkir have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Ayoub Oufkir has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ayoub Oufkir average?

Across 8 Eredivisie appearances in 26/27, Ayoub Oufkir is averaging 2.18 shots on target and 3.82 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ayoub Oufkir get booked?

Ayoub Oufkir is averaging 1.09 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ayoub Oufkir commit or win more fouls?

This season Ayoub Oufkir commits 2.73 fouls per 90 and wins 2.73 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ayoub Oufkir?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ayoub Oufkir plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.