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Eredivisie 26/27
MA

Mateo Chávez

Defender AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 26/27

Next match
AZ Alkmaar at SC Cambuur›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 28 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie defender, 25/26, 3,391 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.58 per 90
40%
4 of 102.7×
2.50bet365Edge
Total shots1.40 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.2×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls won1.05 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Fouls committed1.52 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.5×
Tackles3.50 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
3.00bet365Edge
Goals0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 104.5×
form only
Assists0.35 per 90
20%
2 of 103.8×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Mateo Chávez has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (3 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 75%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mateo Chávez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Feyenoord10 Oct 90 0 1 1 1 5 0
SC Telstar20 Sep 90 1 2 2 0 5 0
Willem II Tilburg11 Sep 90 0 1 2 0 6 0
@ SC Heerenveen6 Sep 45 0 1 0 0 2 0
Go Ahead Eagles29 Aug 83 2 2 1 0 3 0
@ Fortuna Sittard22 Aug 90 0 0 0 3 0 0
@ FC Utrecht15 Aug 90 1 2 3 2 1 1
ADO Den Haag8 Aug 73 0 0 1 1 2 0
NAC Breda17 May 57 1 1 1 0 3 0
@ Go Ahead Eagles23 Apr 63 0 2 2 2 3 0
Officials on record
Manschot, Jeroen 4 games Mateo Chávez booked in 1 3.44cards/game 1.08×vs league
Serdar Gozubuyuk 4 games Mateo Chávez never booked 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Erwin Blank 3 games Mateo Chávez booked in 2 3.31cards/game 1.04×vs league
Danny Makkelie 3 games Mateo Chávez booked in 1 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Mateo Chávez have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Mateo Chávez has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (3 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Mateo Chávez average?

Across 8 Eredivisie appearances in 26/27, Mateo Chávez is averaging 0.55 shots on target and 1.24 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mateo Chávez get booked?

Mateo Chávez is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mateo Chávez commit or win more fouls?

This season Mateo Chávez commits 1.38 fouls per 90 and wins 0.97 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mateo Chávez?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mateo Chávez plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.