Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Eredivisie 26/27
ÁN

Ángel Alarcón

Forward FC UtrechtEredivisie 26/27

Also in: La Liga

Next match
FC Utrecht at FC Twente›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 22 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.04 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
2.25bet365Edge
Total shots2.98 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.25bet365Edge
Fouls won0.89 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed1.34 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Tackles0.89 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
7.00bet365Edge
Goals0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 26/27, Ángel Alarcón has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ángel Alarcón featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Willem II Tilburg11 Oct 22 2 4 0 0 1 0
@ Feyenoord20 Sep 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Excelsior13 Sep 62 1 2 0 0 0 0
Go Ahead Eagles8 Sep 90 0 1 4 1 2 0
PSV Eindhoven30 Aug 61 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Sparta Rotterdam22 Aug 62 0 5 0 0 0 0
AZ Alkmaar15 Aug 90 1 2 2 2 1 0
@ FC Groningen9 Aug 84 2 3 2 0 0 0
@ AFC Ajax24 May 22 1 1 1 0 0 0
NAC Breda2 May 66 0 2 0 3 0 0
Officials on record
Danny Makkelie 3 games Ángel Alarcón never booked 3.32cards/game 1.04×vs league
Jannick van der Laan 3 games Ángel Alarcón never booked 3.07cards/game 0.96×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ángel Alarcón have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Ángel Alarcón has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Eredivisie appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ángel Alarcón average?

Across 8 Eredivisie appearances in 26/27, Ángel Alarcón is averaging 1.05 shots on target and 2.97 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ángel Alarcón get booked?

Ángel Alarcón is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ángel Alarcón commit or win more fouls?

This season Ángel Alarcón commits 1.40 fouls per 90 and wins 0.52 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ángel Alarcón?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ángel Alarcón plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.