What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with an Eredivisie defender, 25/26, 3,391 appearances
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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Gustaf Lagerbielke has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Gustaf Lagerbielke has no Eredivisie record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Eredivisie centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustaf LagerbielkeSporting BragaUEFA Europa League | 14 | 0.23 | 1.20 |
| Joris KramerGo Ahead Eagles | 8 | 0.62 | 1.12 |
| Wouter GoesAZ Alkmaar | 8 | 0.38 | 1.38 |
| Armando ObispoPSV Eindhoven | 8 | 0.40 | 2.11 |
| Max BrunsFC Twente | 6 | 0.59 | 0.20 |
| Matisse DiddenFC Utrecht | 6 | 0.76 | 1.90 |
| These 5, combined | 0.53 | 1.39 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Gustaf Lagerbielke featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ AZ Alkmaar25 May | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NEC Nijmegen22 May | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| PSV Eindhoven24 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Fortuna Sittard5 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Heracles Almelo30 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Feyenoord16 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Almere City FC9 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC Groningen1 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| NEC Nijmegen23 Feb | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| RKC Waalwijk16 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees
Frequently asked
How often does Gustaf Lagerbielke have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Gustaf Lagerbielke has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Gustaf Lagerbielke average?
Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Gustaf Lagerbielke is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 0.47 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Gustaf Lagerbielke get booked?
Gustaf Lagerbielke is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Gustaf Lagerbielke commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Gustaf Lagerbielke commits 0.47 fouls per 90 and wins 0.82 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gustaf Lagerbielke?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gustaf Lagerbielke plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.