Gustaf Lagerbielke
Defender Sporting BragaPrimeira Liga 26/27
Also in: Scottish PremiershipEredivisie
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Gustaf Lagerbielke has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Gustaf Lagerbielke in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 13 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustaf LagerbielkeSporting Braga | 28 | 0.68 | 1.73 |
| Ousmane DiomandeNottingham Forest | 17 | 0.69 | 1.94 |
| Jan BednarekFC Porto | 32 | 0.43 | 1.24 |
| António SilvaBournemouth | 25 | 0.87 | 1.16 |
| Sikou NiakatéSporting Braga | 11 | 1.05 | 0.96 |
| Nicolás OtamendiBenfica | 30 | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| These 5, combined | 0.72 | 1.16 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Gustaf Lagerbielke featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril Praia14 Sep | 81 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ CF Estrela Amadora10 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ FC Alverca5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Vitória SC31 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Moreirense9 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| CF Estrela Amadora16 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Benfica11 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Estoril Praia3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Casa Pia23 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Famalicão19 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Gustaf Lagerbielke have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Gustaf Lagerbielke has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Gustaf Lagerbielke average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Gustaf Lagerbielke is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.71 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Gustaf Lagerbielke get booked?
Gustaf Lagerbielke is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Gustaf Lagerbielke commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Gustaf Lagerbielke commits 1.21 fouls per 90 and wins 0.61 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gustaf Lagerbielke?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gustaf Lagerbielke plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.