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Primeira Liga 26/27
TO

Tomás Araújo

Defender BenficaPrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
Benfica at Santa Clara›
Sat 24 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Total shots0.83 per 90
70%
7 of 102.1×
Fouls won0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed1.14 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
Tackles0.93 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.41 per 90
40%
4 of 102.0×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 105.0×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 26/27, Tomás Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 62%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 12%, and been booked in 50% (4 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Tomás Araújo in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 13 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tomás AraújoBenfica 230.91 0.48
Zeno DebastSporting CP 170.61 1.06
José FonteCasa Pia 180.56 0.88
Jakub KiwiorFC Porto 260.65 1.14
Sikou NiakatéSporting Braga 111.05 0.96
António SilvaBournemouth 250.87 1.16
These 5, combined 0.73 1.06

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tomás Araújo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Vitória SC11 Oct 90 0 0 1 0 0 1
@ FC Porto20 Sep 90 0 1 0 1 2 1
Gil Vicente13 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Moreirense9 Sep 90 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Marítimo5 Sep 90 0 0 3 0 1 1
Estoril Praia31 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 2 0
@ Casa Pia17 Aug 59 0 1 2 0 0 0
Académico Viseu FC9 Aug 90 0 1 3 0 1 1
@ Estoril Praia16 May 90 0 2 0 0 1 0
Sporting Braga11 May 90 0 1 1 0 2 0
Officials on record
Joao Pedro Pinheiro 13 games Tomás Araújo never booked 4.89cards/game 0.95×vs league
Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves 10 games Tomás Araújo booked in 1 5.15cards/game 1.00×vs league
Miguel Nogueira 10 games Tomás Araújo booked in 1 4.47cards/game 0.86×vs league
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo 5 games Tomás Araújo booked in 1 5.60cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tomás Araújo have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Tomás Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tomás Araújo average?

Across 8 Primeira Liga appearances in 26/27, Tomás Araújo is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tomás Araújo get booked?

Tomás Araújo is averaging 0.52 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tomás Araújo commit or win more fouls?

This season Tomás Araújo commits 1.31 fouls per 90 and wins 0.13 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tomás Araújo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tomás Araújo plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.