What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga midfielder, 25/26, 2,874 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, João Moutinho has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to João Moutinho in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 19 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| João MoutinhoSporting Braga | 31 | 0.94 | 1.44 |
| Fredrik AursnesBenfica | 28 | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| Hidemasa MoritaHull City | 31 | 0.69 | 2.01 |
| Jean-Baptiste GorbySporting Braga | 28 | 0.68 | 0.94 |
| Victor FroholdtFC Porto | 34 | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Alan VarelaFC Porto | 30 | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| These 5, combined | 0.98 | 1.21 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games João Moutinho featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP9 Oct | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| @ Santa Clara20 Sep | 65 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Estoril Praia14 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ CF Estrela Amadora10 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ FC Alverca5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Vitória SC31 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Moreirense9 Aug | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CF Estrela Amadora16 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Benfica11 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Estoril Praia3 May | 70 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does João Moutinho have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, João Moutinho has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does João Moutinho average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, João Moutinho is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 0.48 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does João Moutinho get booked?
João Moutinho is averaging 0.36 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does João Moutinho commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games João Moutinho commits 1.68 fouls per 90 and wins 0.60 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for João Moutinho?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. João Moutinho plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.