What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 7 games
Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances
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Over the last 7 Scottish Premiership games, Gustaf Lagerbielke has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% (1 of 7), 1+ total shot in 29%, 1+ foul committed in 29%, 1+ foul won in 29%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 7). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Gustaf Lagerbielke has no Scottish Premiership record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Scottish Premiership centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustaf LagerbielkeSporting BragaUEFA Europa League | 14 | 0.23 | 1.20 |
| Liam ScalesCeltic | 37 | 0.38 | 1.16 |
| John SouttarRangers | 24 | 0.58 | 0.85 |
| Auston TrustyCeltic | 26 | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| Cameron Carter-VickersCeltic | 7 | 0.57 | 1.29 |
| Derek CorneliusOlympique de Marseille | 7 | 0.81 | 0.97 |
| These 5, combined | 0.50 | 0.97 |
Recent matches
The last 7 games Gustaf Lagerbielke featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Johnstone16 Mar | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ St. Mirren2 Jan | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Motherwell30 Sep | 62 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Livingston23 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dundee FC16 Sep | 45 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Rangers3 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| St. Johnstone26 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Gustaf Lagerbielke have a shot on target?
Over the last 7 Scottish Premiership games, Gustaf Lagerbielke has hit 1+ shot on target in 14% (1 of 7). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Gustaf Lagerbielke average?
Across the last 7 Scottish Premiership games, Gustaf Lagerbielke is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.87 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Gustaf Lagerbielke get booked?
Gustaf Lagerbielke is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 7 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Gustaf Lagerbielke commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 7 games Gustaf Lagerbielke commits 0.43 fouls per 90 and wins 0.43 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gustaf Lagerbielke?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gustaf Lagerbielke plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.