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Scottish Premiership 26/27
RY

Ryan Astley

Defender Dundee FCScottish Premiership 26/27

Next match
Dundee FC vs Rangers›
Sat 17 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership defender, 25/26, 2,407 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.40 per 90
40%
4 of 103.0×
5.50bet365Edge
Total shots0.70 per 90
60%
6 of 101.7×
2.38bet365Edge
Fouls won1.00 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
Fouls committed0.40 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles1.30 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 102.1×
form only
Assists0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 102.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 26/27, Ryan Astley has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (2 of 8), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ryan Astley featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Falkirk FC10 Oct 90 1 2 1 1 2 0
Motherwell19 Sep 90 1 1 0 0 3 0
@ Heart of Midlothian6 Sep 90 0 0 0 0 3 0
St. Johnstone2 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
Hibernian30 Aug 90 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Dundee United22 Aug 90 0 1 0 2 0 0
Aberdeen8 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Celtic3 Aug 90 0 1 1 2 1 0
Aberdeen17 May 90 1 1 0 0 2 0
@ Kilmarnock12 May 90 1 1 1 4 1 0
Officials on record
Steven McLean 9 games Ryan Astley booked in 1 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league
Nick Walsh 7 games Ryan Astley booked in 1 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
Ross Hardie 6 games Ryan Astley never booked 4.69cards/game 1.17×vs league
David Dickinson 4 games Ryan Astley booked in 1 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ryan Astley have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Ryan Astley has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (2 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ryan Astley average?

Across 8 Scottish Premiership appearances in 26/27, Ryan Astley is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ryan Astley get booked?

Ryan Astley is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ryan Astley commit or win more fouls?

This season Ryan Astley commits 0.38 fouls per 90 and wins 0.75 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ryan Astley?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ryan Astley plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.