What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances
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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Koki Saito has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Koki Saito featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ FC Utrecht23 May | 89 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| SC Heerenveen19 May | 82 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Utrecht12 May | 82 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ PSV Eindhoven5 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Volendam28 Apr | 89 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Almere City FC13 Apr | 89 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Heracles Almelo6 Apr | 90 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Vitesse2 Apr | 80 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Fortuna Sittard30 Mar | 83 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| AFC Ajax17 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees
Frequently asked
How often does Koki Saito have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Koki Saito has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Koki Saito average?
Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Koki Saito is averaging 0.42 shots on target and 2.60 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Koki Saito get booked?
Koki Saito is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Koki Saito commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Koki Saito commits 0.83 fouls per 90 and wins 1.98 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Koki Saito?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Koki Saito plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.