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Eredivisie 26/27
NÖ

Nökkvi Þórisson

Forward SC TelstarEredivisie 26/27

Next match
SC Telstar vs Feyenoord›
Sat 17 OctReferee Manschot, Jeroen
Last games
max 36 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with an Eredivisie forward, 25/26, 2,950 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.22 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.83bet365Edge
Total shots3.13 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls won0.87 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed2.79 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
Tackles0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.35 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.35 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
form only
Assists0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Nökkvi Þórisson has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nökkvi Þórisson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
ADO Den Haag11 Oct 31 0 4 0 0 0 0
@ SC Heerenveen13 Sep 69 1 2 3 0 1 0
@ FC Twente9 Sep 61 0 0 1 0 0 1
SC Cambuur6 Sep 22 0 0 1 0 0 1
FC Utrecht22 Aug 62 0 0 2 3 0 0
@ SC Telstar14 Aug 85 4 5 6 2 0 0
Feyenoord9 Aug 62 0 3 1 0 0 0
FC Groningen4 Apr 28 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ SC Heerenveen14 Mar 23 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Fortuna Sittard8 Mar 74 1 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Serdar Gozubuyuk 7 games Nökkvi Þórisson never booked 3.63cards/game 1.14×vs league
Sander van der Eijk 4 games Nökkvi Þórisson never booked 3.58cards/game 1.12×vs league
Joey Kooij 3 games Nökkvi Þórisson booked in 1 3.37cards/game 1.06×vs league
Allard Lindhout 3 games Nökkvi Þórisson never booked 2.90cards/game 0.91×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Eredivisie officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Eredivisie referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nökkvi Þórisson have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Eredivisie games, Nökkvi Þórisson has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nökkvi Þórisson average?

Across the last 10 Eredivisie games, Nökkvi Þórisson is averaging 1.22 shots on target and 3.13 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nökkvi Þórisson get booked?

Nökkvi Þórisson is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nökkvi Þórisson commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nökkvi Þórisson commits 2.79 fouls per 90 and wins 0.87 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nökkvi Þórisson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nökkvi Þórisson plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.