La Liga · 23/24
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Almería v FC Barcelona
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Almería0 – 2
FC Barcelona
16 May 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Félix | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ferran Torres | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Robert Lewandowski | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Fermín López | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 4 | ✓ |
| Lamine Yamal | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis Javier Suárez | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lamine Yamal | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| João Félix | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Choco Lozano | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fermín López | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Choco Lozano | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lucas Robertone | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Javier Suárez | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Choco Lozano | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 65% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 62% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 28% | 1 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Almería & FC Barcelona player stats→
Almería players & stats→
FC Barcelona players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- FC Barcelona 3–2 Almería Dec 2023
- Almería 1–0 FC Barcelona Feb 2023
- FC Barcelona 2–0 Almería Nov 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.