La Liga · 23/24

FC Barcelona v Almería

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

FC Barcelona3 – 2 Almería 20 Dec 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Raphinha	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Robert Lewandowski	shots total	1+	100%	8	✓
João Félix	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
Ferran Torres	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Fermín López	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
João Félix	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Largie Ramazani	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Iddrisu Baba	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Largie Ramazani	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Léo Baptistão	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
İlkay Gündoğan	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Raphinha	shots on target	1+	80%	1	✓
Robert Lewandowski	shots on target	1+	80%	3	✓
Léo Baptistão	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	75%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	56%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	49%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

FC Barcelona & Almería player stats→ FC Barcelona players & stats→ Almería players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works