La Liga · 23/24

Almería v Osasuna

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Almería0 – 3 Osasuna 30 Mar 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
José Manuel Arnáiz	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Ante Budimir	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Léo Baptistão	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Lucas Robertone	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Iker Muñoz	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Luka Romero	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Marko Milovanović	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Marko Milovanović	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Sergio Arribas	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Largie Ramazani	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Iker Muñoz	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Marko Milovanović	fouls drawn	1+	79%	2	✓
Sergio Arribas	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	47%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	44%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Almería & Osasuna player stats→ Almería players & stats→ Osasuna players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works