La Liga · 23/24
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Osasuna v Almería
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Osasuna1 – 0
Almería
4 Jan 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ante Budimir | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 3 | ✓ |
| José Manuel Arnáiz | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 5 | ✓ |
| Lázaro | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Adrián Embarba | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marko Milovanović | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Léo Baptistão | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lucas Robertone | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Aimar Oroz | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Iker Muñoz | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Léo Baptistão | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dion Lopy | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Adrián Embarba | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lázaro | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sergio Arribas | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 55% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 50% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Osasuna & Almería player stats→
Osasuna players & stats→
Almería players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Almería 0–3 Osasuna Mar 2024
- Osasuna 3–1 Almería May 2023
- Almería 0–1 Osasuna Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.