La Liga · 25/26

Atlético Madrid v Girona FC

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Atlético Madrid1 – 0 Girona FC 17 May 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Alexander Sørloth	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Ademola Lookman	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Cristhian Stuani	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Antoine Griezmann	shots total	1+	91%	4	✓
Joel Roca	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Joel Roca	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Azzedine Ounahi	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Bryan Gil	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Cristhian Stuani	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Alex Baena	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Viktor Tsygankov	shots total	1+	80%	4	✓
Claudio Echeverri	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Azzedine Ounahi	shots total	1+	80%	5	✓
Cristhian Stuani	fouls drawn	1+	79%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	55%	1 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	54%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	45%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Atlético Madrid & Girona FC player stats→ Atlético Madrid players & stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works