La Liga · 25/26

Girona FC v Atlético Madrid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Girona FC0 – 3 Atlético Madrid 21 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Alexander Sørloth	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Nicolás González	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Julián Alvarez	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Joel Roca	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Bryan Gil	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Nicolás González	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Conor Gallagher	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Vladyslav Vanat	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Yáser Asprilla	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Joel Roca	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Bryan Gil	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Alexander Sørloth	shots on target	1+	80%	1	✓
Giuliano Simeone	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Giuliano Simeone	shots total	1+	76%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	55%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	54%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	34%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Girona FC & Atlético Madrid player stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Atlético Madrid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works