La Liga · 24/25
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip
›
Atlético Madrid v Las Palmas
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Atlético Madrid2 – 0
Las Palmas
3 Nov 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sørloth | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ángel Correa | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Julián Alvarez | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 2 | ✓ |
| Samuel Lino | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fábio Silva | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sandro Ramírez | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Conor Gallagher | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fábio Silva | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ángel Correa | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Conor Gallagher | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Javi Galán | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Alberto Moleiro | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Antoine Griezmann | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Giuliano Simeone | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 58% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 44% | 2 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 42% | No | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Atlético Madrid & Las Palmas player stats→
Atlético Madrid players & stats→
Las Palmas players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Las Palmas 1–0 Atlético Madrid Apr 2025
- Atlético Madrid 5–0 Las Palmas Feb 2024
- Las Palmas 2–1 Atlético Madrid Nov 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.