La Liga · 24/25

Las Palmas v Atlético Madrid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Las Palmas1 – 0 Atlético Madrid 19 Apr 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Alexander Sørloth	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Julián Alvarez	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Fábio Silva	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Rodrigo Riquelme	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Conor Gallagher	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Alexander Sørloth	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Conor Gallagher	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Javi Galán	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Oli McBurnie	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Alberto Moleiro	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Antoine Griezmann	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Fábio Silva	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓
Alexander Sørloth	shots on target	1+	77%	1	✓
Julián Alvarez	shots on target	1+	77%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	53%	1 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	51%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	49%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Las Palmas & Atlético Madrid player stats→ Las Palmas players & stats→ Atlético Madrid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works