La Liga · 23/24

Cádiz v Villarreal

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Cádiz3 – 1 Villarreal 1 Sep 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
José Luis Morales	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Alex Baena	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Gerard Moreno	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Chris Ramos	shots total	1+	92%	4	✓
Darwin Machís	shots total	1+	92%	5	✓
Alexander Sørloth	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Roger Martí	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Ben Brereton Díaz	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Alex Baena	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Iván Alejo	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Ramón Terrats	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Gerard Moreno	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Yéremy Pino	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Alex Baena	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	68%	10 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	64%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	62%	4 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Cádiz & Villarreal player stats→ Cádiz players & stats→ Villarreal players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works