La Liga · 23/24
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Celta Vigo v Almería
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Celta Vigo1 – 0
Almería
1 Mar 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 7 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choco Lozano | fouls committed | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tadeo Allende | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Anastasios Douvikas | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Anastasios Douvikas | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Bamba | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 5 | ✓ |
| Luka Romero | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Choco Lozano | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lucas Robertone | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Iddrisu Baba | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lucas Robertone | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Largie Ramazani | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Luca De La Torre | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Bamba | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 57% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 56% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 1 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Celta Vigo & Almería player stats→
Celta Vigo players & stats→
Almería players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Almería 2–3 Celta Vigo Sep 2023
- Celta Vigo 2–2 Almería Apr 2023
- Almería 3–1 Celta Vigo Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.