La Liga · 24/25

Celta Vigo v Leganés

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Celta Vigo2 – 1 Leganés 8 Mar 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Alfon González	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Iago Aspas	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Borja Iglesias	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Iago Aspas	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Dani Raba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Alfon González	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Borja Iglesias	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Diego García	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Javier Hernández	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Óscar Rodríguez	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Dani Raba	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Diego García	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Miguel de la Fuente	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Yvan Neyou	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	50%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	48%	5 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	42%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Celta Vigo & Leganés player stats→ Celta Vigo players & stats→ Leganés players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Leganés 3–0 Celta Vigo Oct 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works