La Liga · 24/25

Leganés v Celta Vigo

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leganés3 – 0 Celta Vigo 27 Oct 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Anastasios Douvikas	fouls drawn	1+	94%	1	✓
Anastasios Douvikas	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Diego García	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Dani Raba	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Borja Iglesias	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Iago Aspas	shots total	1+	91%	5	✓
Ilaix Moriba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Iago Aspas	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Jonathan Bamba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Munir El Haddadi	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Williot Swedberg	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Yvan Neyou	fouls drawn	1+	88%	4	✓
Darko Brašanac	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Anastasios Douvikas	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	42%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	39%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	27%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Leganés & Celta Vigo player stats→ Leganés players & stats→ Celta Vigo players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Celta Vigo 2–1 Leganés Mar 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works