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La Liga · 25/26

Celta Vigo v Real Oviedo

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Celta Vigo0 – 3 Real Oviedo 12 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Iago Aspas shots total 1+ 100% 1
Ferran Jutglà shots total 1+ 94% 2
Pablo Durán shots total 1+ 92% 1
Borja Iglesias shots total 1+ 92% 0
Fer López shots total 1+ 91% 2
Williot Swedberg shots total 1+ 91% 0
Ilyas Chaira shots total 1+ 91% 2
Federico Viñas fouls drawn 1+ 89% 0
Ilaix Moriba fouls drawn 1+ 89% 0
Williot Swedberg fouls drawn 1+ 89% 2
Ilyas Chaira fouls committed 1+ 87% 3
Javi López fouls committed 1+ 83% 1
Williot Swedberg fouls committed 1+ 83% 0
Matías Vecino shots total 1+ 80% 0

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 50% 3 goals
Btts Yes 46% No
Match cards O4.5 31% 3 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.