Deportivo Alavés v Las Palmas
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kike García | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Toni Martínez | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stoichkov | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Carlos Martín | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sandro Ramírez | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sandro Ramírez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jaime Mata | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| José Campaña | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Antonio Blanco | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kike García | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Abdel Abqar | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Oli McBurnie | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jaime Mata | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alberto Moleiro | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 45% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 42% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 36% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Las Palmas 2–2 Deportivo Alavés Mar 2025
- Las Palmas 1–1 Deportivo Alavés May 2024
- Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Las Palmas Dec 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.