La Liga · 24/25
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Las Palmas v Deportivo Alavés
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Las Palmas2 – 2
Deportivo Alavés
14 Mar 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toni Martínez | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 3 | ✓ |
| Fábio Silva | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Carlos Martín | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Asier Villalibre | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Fábio Silva | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Adnan Januzaj | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sandro Ramírez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Martín | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Carles Aleñá | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Fábio Silva | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Oli McBurnie | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alberto Moleiro | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 5 | ✓ |
| Sandro Ramírez | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Adnan Januzaj | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 64% | 9 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 47% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 41% | 4 goals | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Las Palmas & Deportivo Alavés player stats→
Las Palmas players & stats→
Deportivo Alavés players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Deportivo Alavés 2–0 Las Palmas Sep 2024
- Las Palmas 1–1 Deportivo Alavés May 2024
- Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Las Palmas Dec 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.