Elche v Mallorca
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zito Luvumbo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gonzalo Villar | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rafa Mir | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Vedat Muriqi | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Álvaro Rodriguez | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 2 | ✓ |
| Aleix Febas | fouls drawn | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Zito Luvumbo | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mateo Joseph | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Grady Diangana | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Germán Valera | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Samú Costa | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Vedat Muriqi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pablo Torre | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Grady Diangana | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 56% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 21% | 5 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Mallorca 3–1 Elche Dec 2025
- Mallorca 0–1 Elche Mar 2023
- Elche 1–1 Mallorca Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.