La Liga · 25/26

Mallorca v Elche

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Mallorca3 – 1 Elche 13 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Rafa Mir	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Aleix Febas	fouls drawn	1+	94%	0	✗
Álvaro Rodriguez	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Vedat Muriqi	shots total	1+	92%	8	✓
Yago Santiago	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Mateo Joseph	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Vedat Muriqi	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Germán Valera	fouls drawn	1+	89%	5	✓
Álvaro Rodriguez	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Rafa Mir	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Jan Virgili	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Sergi Darder	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Germán Valera	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Yago Santiago	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	47%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	40%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	36%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Mallorca & Elche player stats→ Mallorca players & stats→ Elche players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works