Espanyol v Levante UD
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Espanyol beat Levante UD 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Etta Eyong for 1+ shots total (95%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Paco Cortés for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
3 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etta Eyong | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Iván Romero | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Paco Cortés | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Roberto Fernández | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Iván Romero | fouls drawn | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Álvarez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Omar El Hilali | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Unai Núñez | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Etta Eyong | fouls committed | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jon Ander Olasagasti | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Manuel Sánchez | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 3 | ✓ |
| Edu Expósito | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Urko González | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tyrhys Dolan | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Fouls drawn Tackles Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 66% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 61% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 53% | 3 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Espanyol 0–0 Levante UD Apr 2026
- Levante UD 1–1 Espanyol Jan 2026
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Espanyol v Levante UD?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Espanyol v Levante UD?
The most confident call it got wrong was Paco Cortés at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the La Liga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.