La Liga · 25/26

Girona FC v Rayo Vallecano

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Girona FC1 – 3 Rayo Vallecano 15 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Yangel Herrera	fouls drawn	1+	93%	3	✓
Álvaro García	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Isi Palazón	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Joel Roca	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Isi Palazón	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Gerard Gumbau	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Yangel Herrera	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Jhon Solís	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Viktor Tsygankov	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Yáser Asprilla	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Bojan Miovski	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Unai López	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Jorge de Frutos	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Gerard Gumbau	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	51%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	46%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	22%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Girona FC & Rayo Vallecano player stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Rayo Vallecano players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works