La Liga · 25/26

Rayo Vallecano v Girona FC

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Rayo Vallecano1 – 1 Girona FC 11 May 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Sergio Camello	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Jorge de Frutos	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Pedro Díaz	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Joel Roca	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Joel Roca	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Azzedine Ounahi	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Claudio Echeverri	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Alejandro Francés	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Carlos Martín	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Unai López	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Gerard Gumbau	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Claudio Echeverri	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Azzedine Ounahi	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Carlos Martín	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	63%	2 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	54%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	52%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Rayo Vallecano & Girona FC player stats→ Rayo Vallecano players & stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works