Girona FC v Real Betis
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Girona FC lost to Real Betis 2–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Abdessamad Ezzalzouli for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Cédric Bakambu for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdessamad Ezzalzouli | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Cédric Bakambu | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Cucho Hernández | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rodrigo Riquelme | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 2 | ✓ |
| Azzedine Ounahi | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 3 | ✓ |
| Joel Roca | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Giovani Lo Celso | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Azzedine Ounahi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 4 | ✓ |
| Giovani Lo Celso | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Abdessamad Ezzalzouli | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Valentín Gómez | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Arnau Martínez | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joel Roca | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Aitor Ruibal | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 4 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Fouls drawn Tackles
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 58% | 5 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 58% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 47% | 4 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Real Betis 1–1 Girona FC Nov 2025
- Girona FC 1–3 Real Betis Apr 2025
- Real Betis 1–1 Girona FC Aug 2024
- Girona FC 3–2 Real Betis Mar 2024
- Real Betis 1–1 Girona FC Dec 2023
- Girona FC 1–2 Real Betis May 2023
- Real Betis 2–1 Girona FC Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Girona FC v Real Betis?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Girona FC v Real Betis?
The most confident call it got wrong was Cédric Bakambu at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the La Liga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.