Real Betis v Girona FC
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Real Betis drew with Girona FC 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Antony for 1+ shots total (94%, had 4). Its clearest miss: Giovani Lo Celso for 1+ fouls drawn (93%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucho Hernández | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Antony | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Isco | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Abdessamad Ezzalzouli | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Giovani Lo Celso | fouls drawn | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Isco | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Azzedine Ounahi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Iván Martín | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Aitor Ruibal | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Marc Roca | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Arnau Martínez | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Valentín Gómez | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Marc Bartra | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Gil | fouls committed | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Fouls drawn Tackles Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 58% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 58% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 40% | 8 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Girona FC 2–3 Real Betis Apr 2026
- Girona FC 1–3 Real Betis Apr 2025
- Real Betis 1–1 Girona FC Aug 2024
- Girona FC 3–2 Real Betis Mar 2024
- Real Betis 1–1 Girona FC Dec 2023
- Girona FC 1–2 Real Betis May 2023
- Real Betis 2–1 Girona FC Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Real Betis v Girona FC?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Real Betis v Girona FC?
The most confident call it got wrong was Giovani Lo Celso at 93% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the La Liga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.