La Liga · 24/25

Las Palmas v Athletic Club

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Las Palmas2 – 3 Athletic Club 15 Sep 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Gorka Guruzeta	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Iñaki Williams	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Nico Williams	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Sandro Ramírez	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
José Campaña	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Sandro Ramírez	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Gorka Guruzeta	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Oli McBurnie	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Alberto Moleiro	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Fábio Silva	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Fábio Silva	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Oli McBurnie	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	fouls drawn	1+	76%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	44%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	39%	5 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	31%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Las Palmas & Athletic Club player stats→ Las Palmas players & stats→ Athletic Club players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works