La Liga · 24/25

Las Palmas v Real Madrid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Las Palmas1 – 1 Real Madrid 29 Aug 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Vinícius Júnior	shots total	1+	92%	6	✓
Kylian Mbappé	shots total	1+	91%	9	✓
Sandro Ramírez	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Rodrygo	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Vinícius Júnior	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Marvin Park	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Arda Güler	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Arda Güler	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Brahim Díaz	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Oli McBurnie	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Brahim Díaz	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Rodrygo	fouls drawn	1+	76%	0	✗
Alberto Moleiro	shots total	1+	76%	1	✓
Arda Güler	fouls drawn	1+	75%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	49%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	39%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Las Palmas & Real Madrid player stats→ Las Palmas players & stats→ Real Madrid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works