La Liga · 25/26

Mallorca v Atlético Madrid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Mallorca1 – 1 Atlético Madrid 21 Sep 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Giacomo Raspadori	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
Vedat Muriqi	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Julián Alvarez	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Nicolás González	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Marc Domenech	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Antoine Griezmann	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Nicolás González	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Giuliano Simeone	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Conor Gallagher	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Pablo Torre	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Samú Costa	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Conor Gallagher	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Samú Costa	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Giacomo Raspadori	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	39%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	25%	1 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Mallorca & Atlético Madrid player stats→ Mallorca players & stats→ Atlético Madrid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works