Osasuna v Getafe
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Osasuna beat Getafe 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Ante Budimir for 1+ shots total (94%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Enes Ünal for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
4 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enes Ünal | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ante Budimir | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Aimar Oroz | fouls drawn | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| Enes Ünal | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Martín Satriano | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ramón Terrats | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Iker Muñoz | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrés García | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Dubasin | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alberto Risco | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Dubasin | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ramón Terrats | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 4 | ✓ |
| Martín Satriano | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| Alberto Risco | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Fouls drawn Tackles
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 62% | 9 cards | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 34% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 28% | 1 goals | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards BTTS
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Getafe 1–0 Osasuna May 2026
- Osasuna 2–1 Getafe Oct 2025
- Osasuna 1–2 Getafe Mar 2025
- Getafe 1–1 Osasuna Oct 2024
- Osasuna 3–2 Getafe Jan 2024
- Getafe 3–2 Osasuna Sep 2023
- Getafe 2–1 Osasuna May 2023
- Osasuna 0–2 Getafe Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Osasuna v Getafe?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Osasuna v Getafe?
The most confident call it got wrong was Enes Ünal at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the La Liga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.