La Liga · 23/24

Rayo Vallecano v Almería

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Rayo Vallecano0 – 1 Almería 5 May 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Raúl de Tomás	shots total	1+	98%	2	✓
Radamel Falcao	shots total	1+	92%	5	✓
Léo Baptistão	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Isi Palazón	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Choco Lozano	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Isi Palazón	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Radamel Falcao	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Choco Lozano	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Óscar Trejo	fouls drawn	1+	88%	6	✓
Sergio Arribas	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Randy Nteka	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Adrián Embarba	shots total	1+	87%	2	✓
Unai López	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Choco Lozano	fouls committed	1+	87%	5	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	60%	5 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	49%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	45%	1 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Rayo Vallecano & Almería player stats→ Rayo Vallecano players & stats→ Almería players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works